The Growth Messages for California That Succeeded On 11/4

While California’s official November 4th election results won’t be finalized until the end of the month, we can still gauge the success of certain economic competitiveness messages. With national Republicans failing to pick up any California Congressional seats, the national messaging largely proved ineffective, even with a seemingly Republican-friendly electorate. Instead, it would appear that…

Explanations for What Happened in California’s Most Competitive Elections

On November 3rd, I provided some predictions for California’s top legislative and Congressional races.  With the dust settled, I can take a look back at those predictions to figure out what, indeed, happened. Overall statewide turnout hovers around 42%, the lowest level of general election participation in California history.  In the low-profile gubernatorial race, Republican…

Mid-Term Elections in the Golden State: Predictions for November 4

Tomorrow is Election Day. The following examines this year’s top races across California making predictions of the outcomes using Political Data, Inc’s valuable vote-by-mail (VBM) data and information from the Secretary of State. I’ll start with a statewide analysis to describe my methodology. As of Monday morning, vote-by-mail ballots (VBM) returns are D+4 mirroring 2010…